Dawn and I are out with friends from the world of community rail this evening so there’ll be no time to blog. Instead, I’m scribbling thoughts now whilst I can. May’s started well here in the Pennines, Spring feels like it’s finally here and temperatures are getting to the stage where it’s time to start discarding layers of clothing like a snake shedding its skin. Hopefully, the winter kit can finally be put away for another year.
Things are hotting up politically too. Today, many parts of the country go to the polls in a mix of elections. 1000s of local council seats are up for grabs, as are Police Consultative Committee (PCC) Chairs, London and regional Mayors and one Parliamentary seat – Blackpool South. The results won’t all come through tomorrow. Manchester’s Mayoral result won’t be declared until Saturday – which means the Conservative party meltdown is going to be a long, drawn out affair! Because whichever way you look at it, these elections are going to make grim reading for the Tories.
All their political performance art over Angela Rayner, Rwanda and the war on ‘woke’ has failed to move the political dial. Exactly the opposite in fact. Pollsters YouGov Tweeted this earlier today.
The irony here is that Reform stand little chance of winning any Parliamentary seats and few local Council seats. They’ve no chance in any of the Mayoral elections either! Whichever way you look at things, tomorrow can’t help but be a grim day for the Tories.
I’ll be buying popcorn as I expect the aftermath and meltdown could be fun to watch!
Away from politics I’ve been busy arranging and re-arranging my diary for the rest of the month as plans come and go or are changed. Next week should certainly be interesting as it has the added complication of rail strikes, most of which I’ll avoid as I’ll be away on a press trip to Germany.
In the meantime I’ve been clearing the decks of pictures i’ve taken over thje past few days, which you can find in these galleries on my Zenfolio website.
Right, time to go. See you tomorrow – if I’ve not choked on popcorn!
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
I’ll be honest, when I first heard that Huw Merriman the Tory MP for Bexhill and Battle since 2015 had been appointed Minister of State for Rail and HS2 back in October 2022 I was prepared to give him the benefit of the doubt. After all, He’d been a member of the Transport Select Committee since September 2017 so was well versed in the issues. Then, in January 2020 he’d been appointed Chair of the TSC and seemed to make a pretty good fist of it. He was intelligent and balanced, grasped the issues and managed to keep idiots like his fellow Tory MP Greg Hands (the virulently anti HS2 MP for Bucks) under control.
Sadly, as soon as he was appointed to the Government, the Tory Borg chip was implanted and he was assimilated.
Merriman in 2022. Enthusiastically backing HS2 all the way right until his boss did a volte face – and so did Merriman…
Telling the truth gave way to Owellian ‘Truthspeak’ – as today’s example shows. Merriman attended the opening of the rebuilt Dore and Totley station on the Hope Valley line which has being rebuilt. Here are his utterly BS tweets.
Jesus, where to start? Success? The December timetable has been delayed. There are no extra trains. When there are they’ll be limited to one extra train per hour because further work needs to be done at Manchester and Sheffield to provide capacity. The irony? Both of those locations were due to have capacity added by the very thing Merriman’s boasting about funds being diverted from – HS2.
Oh, the diverted funds bit is utter horseshit too (and Merriman knows it). You see, the Hope Valley upgrade was given funding in 2021, something that seems to have slipped Merriman’s mind – despite his time on the TSC. Here’s the DfT’s press release from that year announcing the work.
Claiming this is a ‘Network North’ project is complete bollocks. A fag packet would be embarrassed to have had this so-called plan drawn up on it. A ‘plan’ which dates from November 2023 – when Rishi Sunak unilaterally decided to cancel HS2 phases 2a and 2b. Y’know – the bits that were meant to deliver ‘levelling up’. The claim that this fictional money (which wasn’t due to be borrowed until 2029) has funded a project started in 2021 shows how Merriman and his boss (Sunak) are gaslighting people – and how Merriman is happy to promulgate a lie. Yeah, I know – he’ll pull the usual pained face he does when he’s caught out. But make no mistake, this is a lie.
Oh, I forgot. Electrification of the Hope Valley? Dream on! That was never a priority in anyone’s plans. It was added to ‘Network North’ ‘cos whoever wrote on the back of that particular fag-packet hadn’t checked real priorities. Of course, it’s pure co-incidence that some of the projects that did get a mention (like the Stocksbridge branch) go through Tory marginals and ‘red wall’ seats, honest! By the way, remember, this is written on the bottom of page 24 of the NN fag-packet plan.
So, what’s the business case for Hope Valley electrification? There isn’t one. And, if there was, it’s been hopelessly compromised by the scrapping of HS2 East and West.
How are any of Merriman’s boasted about improvements going to be delivered before the next general election? They’re not. Nothing’s going to happen at all. The Tories are taking you for fools. Are you going to fall for it again? I won’t. I gave Merriman the benefit of the doubt. As the old saying goes, ‘fool me once’…
A pair of East Midlands Railway DMUs pass through the Hope Valley in September 2023
I’ll leave you with this famous quote from a Russian writer and dissident which sums up the state of Tory politics right now.
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
I don’t do this very often nowadays, mainly because British politics is in such a dire state that once I’d started I’d never stop! There’s only so much invective I could use before one can come up with before you’re tempted to resort to some good old fashioned Anglo-Saxon verbal shorthand!
However, Easter has given me time to think about what’s happening now that Sunak has bottled out of calling a May election. Truth be told, his utterances give the impression that he’d like to not call one at all. I’m beginning to think the unthinkable, that he may actually try and hang on until the last possible moment, which would mean a general election in January 2025. The more I see of the man the more I feel his absolutely no idea what he’s doing, other than desperately hoping things might pick up with the economy, the weather might stop a few more boats, and that he just might manage to get some people on a plane to Rwanda. I’m also suspecting one of the reasons he’s not keen on calling an election is he’s no idea what to put in an election manifesto. He and the Tories are so out of ideas they’ve nothing positive to sell to people. It’s no wonder Labour are keeping their policies and initiatives close to their chests as chances are the Tories are that bereft of ideas they’d nick them.
Every time I see Sunak on TV or hear him on the radio I cringe (and resist the temptation to throw things). His inane laughter and cheesy perma-grin just grates. No matter how serious the question he’s asked he laughs – as if the whole thing’s a joke. Not that voters are laughing. Judging by the polls it seems most people gave up believing the Tories quite some time ago. Here’s one from pollster Redfield Wilton, who are (themselves) regularly more optimistic about the Tories polling numbers.
From this it’s clear that Labour are holding their vote, but the Tories are hemorrhaging, with support draining away to Reform. This makes for some interesting scenarios – none of them good for the Tories. Mind you, they’re not good for Reform either because their polling numbers aren’t going to translate into seats won. Reform aren’t polling quite as well as UKIP did in their heyday. And how many seats did UKIP actually win before they crashed and burned? One (for a year).
What Reform are doing is help destroy the Tory party by dragging it further to the right. They’re not alone in this. The Tories (having lost the plot) are also influenced by another echo-chamber – GB ‘News’, the TV channel that’s really little more than a money-laundering operation that allows its millionaire owner to syphon off money in ridiculous salaries to Tory MPs on his books. The Tories, caught up in this hothouse, are falling for the idea they only way they’re going to win is by tacking ever further to the right to fight ‘woke wars’ as a smokescreen to avoid talking about what a shitshow they’ve made of the economy. As history has shown time and time again, the winning ground is neither left nor right, it’s in the centre. Still, if the Tories want to continue down this road, that’s fine by me. I can see where it’s leading even if they can’t. Some projections put the Tories on as little as 98 seats after the election, with many prominent Tories losing their seats. Notice I say prominent, not talented? After the shenanigans of the Johnson years, when the party was defenestrated by him with many of the intellectuals and ‘One nation’ old guard being thrown out, they were left with talentless horrors in their place – especially some of the ‘red wall’ intake (Gullis, Cates and Anderson) to add to the likes of Braverman, Patel and Jenrick. I wouldn’t trust some of these people to run a whelk stall, never mind a country.
I’ve a strong suspicion that the Tory party will split after their election hammering. No-one believes they can win (even many of their own MPs) the only question is just how bad a drubbing they’ll get. The ‘lucky’ ones who hold onto their seats will fight over the soul of the party (that’ll be difficult, it hasn’t got a soul: Ed) and the likelihood is the swivel-eyed right-wingers will win and drag it ever rightwards, making it untenable for any moderates who may survive. To add to the fun. If the remnant of the Tory party does split there’s every chance that the SNP would become the official opposition through sheer weight of numbers! This recent Survation polls for the Times/Sunday Times put the cat amongst the pigeons by outlining a possible seat scenario. But remember, these polls can’t take into account tactical voting, which has the potential to make the numbers even worse for the Tories.
How is Sunak going to pull this back? No-one believes he can. All he can do is hang on and pray. The longer he does, the more dosh he and his friends make as they wreck and asset-strip the country. What will be interesting to see is the result of the Mayoral and local elections on May 2nd when 107 local authorities across England go to the polls with just over 2000 seats up for grabs. If this turns into another Tory rout, will the Tories turn on Sunak?
Whatever happens and whenever he calls it, the next general election is going to be a popcorn event. I’ll certainly be ensuring I have a well-stocked fridge and the next day off – and I won’t be alone! The Tories are a dead man walking. The only question remaining is just how much more damage they’re going to do and how many more £bns they’re going to trouser/waste before they have their cold, dead hands prised away from the door of No 10…
All of which means Labour are going to have a mountain to climb once they’re in power. The Tories seem determined to leave scorched earth behind them. They don’t give a shit (literally) about the state of the country – all they care about is clinging on to power and a ticket for the gravy train. We may rejoice at them getting kicked out and adults being back in charge, but that’s when the hard work begins…
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
Some days it’s difficult to take this country seriously anymore. Today’s been one of them. One section of the media has been hyperventilating over a badly photoshopped picture of a member of the royal family and her kids, whilst another has been following the latest political psychodrama as a former Conservative deputy Vice-Chairman (Lee Anderson) defects to the Reform party, giving them their first MP.
Try as I might (and I’m really not trying very hard) I can’t get excited about the photograph. There’s an awful lot of things to be bothered about in the UK right now – and this isn’t one of them. Watching the Conservative party falling apart however, is becoming quite a spectacle.
Lee Anderson (or ’30pflee’ as he’s known to many) was always a disaster waiting to happen for the Tory party. Supremely unfitted to be an MP, he was elected in to represent Mansfield as part of the 2019 ‘red wall’ collapse of Labour seats. He could have remained in political obscurity until he was booted out in this years general election but Rishi Sunak had other ideas and (over)promoted him to the job of Conservative Party Deputy-Chairman. This says little about Anderson but a huge amount about how useless Sunak’s judgement is.
Needless to say, Anderson was a disaster and got himself suspended from the Tories after refusing to apologise for Islamophobic remarks he made about the Labour Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan. Now , having originally defected from Labour to the Tories, Anderson’s jumped ship to Reform, where he’ll no doubt provide plenty of popcorn moments before the voters of Ashfield have chance to eject him at an election. He’s already gone full fascist at the press conference, saying he wants his country ‘back’. I almost feel sorry for Reform. They’re cock-a-hoop at having recruited him (don’t you mean ‘bought him’? Ed) as they now have an actual MP, their problem is they’re got yet another ego the size of a planet competing for attention with Tice, Farage and Habib (who failed to get elected in Wellingborough recently). I predict this will not end well! On the bright side, it’s going to cause just as much consternation in the Tory party as Sunak will come under even more pressure to drag the party further to the right – which is only going to end in tears (and electoral oblivion). Will any other Tory MPs follow Anderson to Reform? Possibly, but it won’t save them. Remember Chuka Umunna and the other breakaway MPs who formed ‘Change UK’? That went well. Or Douglas Carswell, the only UKIP MP? He’s now playing his banjo for a right-wing ‘think-tank’ in Mississippi, USA!
I have a feeling that the next round of political polls could be very interesting! The Tories have already sunk to 18% in one recent poll whilst YouGov has seen then regularly poll around 20% (27 points behind Labour). As for Reform, sections of the media are really trying to big them up but the truth is they’re nowhere near hitting the polling heights UKIP did at their Zenith – and they still didn’t win a single seat at a general election! This polling tracker in the Guardian shows the extent of the Tories woes…
My advice? Go buy some popcorn to enjoy whilst you watch the state of UK politics. Really, it’s no laughing matter, but at the moment there’s not a lot else to do but watch the Tory infighting until Sunak finally plucks up the courage to call an election. I still think it might be May. If so, we’ve only got 16 days left to find out as March 27th is when the announcement has to be made by. If not, then this farce will likely drag on until the autumn at the earliest – God help us!
Away from politics and despite the gloomy weather it’s been a productive day here at Bigland Towers. We’re gearing up for the Community Rail Awards which will take place this time next week. Plus, the pair of us have booked a four night break in North Yorkshire shortly afterwards for some ‘down-time’. In the meantime I’m hoping to say ‘sod the weather’ and get out with the camera tomorrow. For now I’ll leave you with today’s picture, which is a view of one of the places we’ll be revisiting soon. Whitby. Here’s the first glimpse of the town you get as you approach over the moors…
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Bugger, I have ‘man flu’. I woke up in the early hours with a throat that felt like I’d been gargling with sandpaper. After a restive night I decided a day of rest was in order. As a precaution the flag over Bigland Towers is flying at half-mast and we’ve painted a red cross on the front door. This time it’s Dawn’s turn to wear the nurses uniform. Mind you, it fits her far better than me – especially the stockings…
Whilst I’ve taken to my sick-bed I’ve not entirely given up the ghost and I’m continuing sorting out bits and bobs in-between having my fevered brow mopped. My Zenfolio website’s been updated with all the pictures from the last week’s travels and events which you can find in the following galleries.
There’s still plenty of pictures for me to sort out as well as writing for a living which I’ll be doing later. What I’m not doing is listening to Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt deliver his latest budget. I heard enough flannel and buzzword bingo (“hard choices”…”growing the economy” etc) from him in person on Monday.
Insert own caption here…
I’ll wait for the expert analysis which always picks up what matters but is never mentioned in his speech. Judging from the reactions I’ve seen so far, the idea that this budget is going to somehow improve the Tories electoral chances and ‘shift the dial’ of their piss-poor performance in the polls is a forlorn hope. Just like when you grow up and stop believing in Santa Claus or the tooth fairy, voters have stopped believing in the Tories – at last! Now we have to wait to see if Sunak will call a May election. The last day on which he can do that is when Parliament goes into recess on the 27th March. There’s no point in trying to second-guess him as that’s applying logic to a man who’s proved to be immune to logical though and decision-making.
On that same lack of logic vein, I’ve been amused to see how the far-right English racists have embraced AI on social media – always with unintentionally hilarious results as what most of ’em actually know about English (never mind British) history could fit on the back of a postage stamp. As for their lack of fluency (both written and oral) in their mother-tongue – or dear! Here’s an absolute classic, but not untypical of the genre as they do love cosplaying Crusaders…
What’s so funny here is that the Knights Templar were actually French! Oh, and only 10% of them were actually knights. So what this buffoon is really calling for is a million people marching through London led by Frenchmen! It’s not gonna happen. Wetherspoons could never cope with the rush, and as for trying to pee through chainmail after twelveteen pints of foreign lager…
Needless to say, the best of British humour has been deployed in spoofing these idiotic IA images, with producing some absolute corkers featuring (amongst other things) knights and lions, golf and Greggs!
Right, one last thing before I go. As it’s another month I’ve restocked my eBay account with more railway memorabilia and old slides for sale. You can find it here. This is a sample of one of the new additions.
See you tomorrow – if the ‘man flu’ hasn’t seen me off!
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
Today, the Department of Transport tweeted this ridiculous claim.
I actually feel sorry for the civil servants at the DfT. They know this is a con but their political masters are using them to push Government (read Tory) propaganda out in an election year. This is a naked abuse of what the civil service is there for, but there’s no low this Government won’t stoop to – including politicising the civil service.
Why tweet this? There’s no supporting press release or announcement of anything happening on the DfT website, or through the DfT’s normal press releases, there’s just this tweet. So why put this out now? Oh, wait. Rishi Sunak was in North Wales yesterday on his pre-election campaign ‘grand tour’. What a co-incidence!
So, what’s happening with North Wales electrification, announced as being funded by scrapping Hs2 phase 2 by Sunak last years and included in the risible ‘Network North’ not even the back of a fag packet plan?
Nothing. Zip. Bugger all. Last month RAIL magazine carried an excellent article detailing why nothing is likely to happen before 2030. You can read it here.
For a start, the £1bn is a con. There’s no HS2 money to ‘release’. It doesn’t exist. It wasn’t due to be borrowed for years yet. It sure as hell isn’t say in a pot in the Treasury labelled ‘for HS2’ that’s just waiting to be rebadged. It’s classic ‘jam tomorrow’ politics. Cancel something you *were* building that had a business case, planning permission and even spades in the ground and announce utter vapourware for sometime in the future instead.
Before a spade enters the ground in North Wales there needs to be a business case for the work. That doesn’t exist. There *was* one, but that dates from 2015 and is hopelessly out of date. That £1bn figure is assumed to be based on that now-defunct business case. Since then, construction costs have increased by roughly 7% per annum – meaning that there’d be no spare change from £1.5bn.
As you can see, the project exists on in the imagination. It’s not included in Network Rail’s future plans and budget which is known as CP7. Control Period 7 runs from April 2024 to March 2029.
The truth is, there’s not a cat in hell’s chance of ANY work planning/consultations being done before the next General Election, which could come as early as May this year. As for actual spades in the ground – don’t make me laugh…
This is nothing but a dishonest and deceitful election con by Sunak and the Tories. Don’t fall for it – or him.
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
Today got off to a good start when I picked up my phone, logged on to the news and saw that Labour had trounced the Tories in yesterday’s by-elections – and by a significant amount – especially in Wellingborough. Of course, the media went into overdrive, although a lot of the reports provided far more heat than light. Speculation was rife amongst readers of runes, many of whom seemed keen to put their own spin on things to make the results seem far more equivocal than they were. Let’s face it, only the other day parts of the media were trying to make out that Labour were in trouble due to Starmer’s decisions over suspending candidates due to anti-semitism. The reality was – it didn’t make the slightest difference to either result.
Others were keen to talk up the impact of ‘Reform’, the rebadged Brexit party and inheritors of UKIP’s crown (minus the odious Nigel Farage of course). Some commentators have tried to make out that Reform getting 13% of the vote in Wellingborough is, somehow, a triumph. All I can say is – they obviously have short memories and no access to Google. Why? Well, here’s the 2015 general election result – when UKIP came second with 19.6% of the vote on a far bigger turnout.
2015 was UKIP’s electoral zenith. The 2016 referendum result burst their bubble and the party faded away in the 2017 election (they only got 3.5% here that year). Oh, but how many MPs did they get in 2017? Not a one. Yesterday Reform came 3rd, not 2nd. But this is first past the post, there’s no prize for 2nd – or 3rd.
Reform are no danger to anyone other than the Tories. In fact, they’re a double danger as so many Tories can’t read the room and insist they need to tack further to the far-right to appeal to Reform voters – which will alienate ordinary voters even more. It’s a death-cult in a death-spiral, all Reform will do is hasten the Tories demise. Still, they’ll keep media commentators in column inches as they try and make-out that the next general election is going to be more of a contest than it is.
Away from politics I’ve been busy out at the back of the house, cleaning down the moss and winter grunge covered steps and cobbles which meant that I emulated the Tories and ended up on my arse! I’d been scrubbing and washing down some wooden steps when a workman called to measure up for our new front door. In my haste to get to greet him muggins here slipped on the top step and ended up coming down the whole flight on my backside before sliding several feet to a watery stop (like a kid off a waterflume) at the gap opposite the back door – just as Dawn opened it to a surprised workman! Still, I made an impression on them both! it certainly gave us a giggle after it became apparent that the only thing hurt was my pride.
I’ve eschewed the opportunity for Friday night in the pub as the pair of us have a busy weekend planned (and an equally busy week after that). Instead we’re having a quiet night in, enjoying each others company and maybe a film or two – hence this blog being earlier than usual.
All that remains now is to leave you with today’s picture. I wasn’t sure what to use today, but I’ve decided to give you a clue as to what I’ll be up to early next week.
In the meantime, enjoy your weekend!
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
Right – I’m back! My enforced absence from blogging is coming to an end. From now (and for the foreseeable future) normal service will be resumed. There’s plenty for me to blog about as my travels around the UK rail network will resume shortly, along with magazine articles and site visits.
On Friday I spent time with friends from the nearby Mytholmroyd station group who were having a planning meeting to give new members the chance to have their say and offer idea on the groups 2024 programme. This year sees the 150th anniversary of the opening of the station building they’ve worked so hard to restore and bring back into community use. Here’s a couple of pictures from the event.
Admiring a selection of vintage photographs of Mytholmroyd and the railway which had been brought in by one of the new members. The results of the brainstorming was a plethora of suggestions and new ideas for activities in 2024.
A you can see, there wasn’t just food for thought on offer but an excellent supply of pies, quiches, sandwiches and other goodies sourced locally from Jo’s kitchen.
My weekend’s been spent at home, sorting out the contents of my office in order to have a good clear out of stuff I no longer need but that’s been hanging around for ages. In some cases since I moved here from London. Our shredder’s been working overtime to deal with a mound of old bank statements and other confidential paperwork. The local charity shops and our recycling centre are getting a fair share of trade too! Part of the clear out saw me having to take a trip into Halifax itself and a visit to the market, so I couldn’t resist trying out my new Nikon Z9 and 50mm lens I’ve just bought to get a few shots whilst the refurbishment of the building is underway.
The multi-faced clock which dominates the centre of the covered market in Halifax.
Meanwhile, Monday has seen me busy as Bigland Towers, continuing the office clear-out and lining up various activities for the coming week – although some are dependent on the weather behaving itself, which is looking doubtful. Mind you, it’s Valentine’s day on Wednesday so my focus (as you can imagine) will be elsewhere! To add to the weeks entertainment we have two by-elections on Thursday, one in Wellingborough and the other at Kingswood near Bristol. Both were Tory safe seats but with the Conservatives being as popular as a fart in a spacesuit the chances of both seats being lost is very real. Expect lots of wailing and gnashing of Tory teeth on Friday. My reaction?
Either way, I’ll try and keep you entertained with comment, analysis (and pictures) on a regular basis from now on. Cheers…
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
This is a rewrite on a much earlier blog which is now out of date due to a changing financial world, but where the basic economic rules still apply. Rules that our (hopefully soon to be Ex) Prime Minister – despite his time as Chancellor of the Exchequer – seems to be unaware of. More likely? He’s gaslighting you. Let me explain…
What are Capex and Opex – and why does the difference matter?
Capital expenditure is an expense incurred to create future benefit, such as buying new assets for a business – like buildings, machinery or equipment. Doing so generates profits for the future over several tax years. Hs2 is a very good example of the principle. It will generate jobs (which generate tax revenue), kick-start regeneration in some of our major cities and make the UK a more attractive place for businesses (which generate corporation tax). Capital investment on decent infrastructure is well understood as bringing economic benefits. This BBC article sums up the situation. As capital expenditure will generate tax revenue year after year it’s not just a one off. That income stream would enable the Treasury to spend money on many different things, from the NHS to social welfare, to more modern infrastructure and even tax cuts if it so chose.
Operating expenditure covers the day to day functioning of a business, like wages, utilities, maintenance and repairs. It also covers depreciation. It’s money needed every year. It’s not a one-off – and it doesn’t generate any extra income the way Capex does.
The UK has a poor record for capital expenditure on infrastructure. It’s why so much of the countries infrastructure is old and outdated (like the railways) and why our productivity is so low.
The OECD (Organisation Economically Developed Countries) recommends that baseline infrastructure investment is 5.5% of GDP annually for an economy with aspirations to growth. We’ve only spent this amount twice since WW2. This is especially relevant now as the UK desperately needs to invest in ‘green’ infrastructure to both tackle and be resilient to Climate Change. HS2 was one of the projects that ticked all these boxes. The importance of such investment has been thrown into the spotlight by the recent storms that have closed railways and flooded large parts of the country. We need modern infrastructure designed and built to cope with them.
Now to the present. Rishi Sunak has announced he’s ‘scrapping’ HS2 and diverting the capital expenditure to operating expenditure, like filling potholes and subsidising bus fares. It’s economic madness, but it’s also a con as the ‘diverted’ money doesn’t exist. There’s no pot of money sat in the Treasury labelled ‘for HS2’ that’s waiting to be diverted elsewhere. HS2 is funded from Government borrowing and the money for the sections of HS2 Sunak has cancelled isn’t on the Governments books as it wasn’t due to be borrowed for many years yet. It’s fantasy money, as real as the stuff you play Monopoly with. Sunak knows this, but he’s taking voters for fools as he also knows most people have no understanding of either economics or Government finances.
Sadly, much of the media is helping him perpetuate the con by lazily copying and pasting his claims and not once asking any awkward questions, informing people of economic basics (like Capex and Opex) or doing any analysis of his claims.
Don’t be fooled.
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Yesterday the Government was busy on social media, spreading a message so asinine that satirists across the country were immediately put out of work. Converted to electricity, the levels of derision this poster generated could have powered the UK for a day at least. Here’s how the message appeared on Twitter (bugger off Musk, I refuse to call it X).
Network North – London?
The ridicule was savage and widespread. It soon got picked up by the national media such as the Independent, who highlighted it here.
I’ve blogged many times in the past about this whole scam (there is no money to redirect from HS2, it wasn’t due to be borrowed for years yet) but unashamedly, the Tories keep doubling down on the lie. This particular stunt appears to be a pathetic attempt to prop up the flailing campaign for London Mayor of Tory no-hoper Susan Hall, hence this awful tweet featuring Transport Minister Mark Harper, exposing the fact that ‘levelling up’ the North-South divide actually means levelling up London’s roads.
Rather then fill in any holes Harper continued to dig them for himself with these follow up tweets.
Needless to say they went down like a cup of cold sick. Many commentators pointing out the gaslighting here. ‘Network North’ now covers the whole of the UK, apparently! None of this money exists and there’s a huge elephant in the room that Harper is deliberately ignoring. It was a footnote on page 24 of the risible ‘Network North’ fantasy list.
What business cases? Fantasy projects don’t have them and never will.
Clearly, the Tories have given up any pretense of being honest or credible. They really are just taking the piss out of people. No-one with half a brain falls for this stuff. You have to wonder what they were thinking when they produced this stuff. I feel sorry for the decent people working for the Department of Transport who’re having their reputations besmirched by association with this crap.
The derision at this idiotic attempt at currying favour with London motorists whilst alienating the rest of the UK is still spreading. I can’t wait to see what stupid stunt they come up with next! It’s worth remembering that Harper and Co recently announced they were giving Transport for London just £250m of the £500m funding TfL had requested. Now suddenly there’s another £235m available for London. Anyone smell a rat?
Meanwhile, if you’re a Tory voter who lives anywhere outside London and the South-East, all I can say is – what on earth are you thinking? They’re taking the piss out of you too…
I’ve a small favour to ask… If you enjoy reading this or any of the other blogs I’ve written, please click on an advert or two. You don’t have to buy anything you don’t want to of course – although if you did find something that tickled your fancy that would be fab! – but the revenue from them helps me to cover some of the cost of maintaining this site (which isn’t cheap and comes out of my own pocket). Remember, 99% of the pictures used in my blogs can be purchased as prints from my other website – https://paulbigland.zenfolio.com/
Paul Bigland 