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Paul Bigland

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Paul Bigland

Tag Archives: Railways

The end is nigh for diesel trains? Don’t you believe it…

12 Monday Feb 2018

Posted by Paul Bigland in Jo Johnson MP, Politics, Rail electrification, Rail Investment, Railfreight

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Jo Johnson MP, Politics, Rail Investment, Railfreight, Railways

Today Transport Minister Jo Johnson MP made a policy announcement on the future of the UKs diesel train fleets – sort of, ish…

Because the policy is more of an aspiration, not a firm commitment. Johnson told the BBC that “I would like to see us take all diesel-only trains off the track by 2040. If that seems like an ambitious goal, it should be and I make no apology for that. After all we’re committed to ending the sales of petrol and diesel cars by 2040. If we can achieve that, then why can’t the railway aspire to a similar objective?” Once doesn’t have to be a Professor of English to spot the caveats in that.

The inherent irony here is that his Government has recently scaled back electrification of routes like the Midland Mail Line (MML) and has ordered many more diesel-electric bi-mode trains like the Hitachi Class 802s for GWR. Bi-modes are the worst of all worlds as they’re hardly energy efficient, OK, they may run on electric power for most of the trip, but then they’re carting around a lot of dead-weight in diesel engines and fuel.

This also begs questions about the 55 new CAF built Civity DMUs which are on order for Northern. Can these be converted to EMUs and (even if they can be) what does this do for the economics of the Northern franchise? Elsewhere, Porterbrook leasing are converting all-electric Class 319 trains to bi-mode by fitting them with diesel engines. The rolling stock leasing companies must be scratching their heads right now. They’ve got 1000s of older EMU vehicles coming off-lease in the next few years but without an extension of electrification, there’s nowhere to run them! Instead, we’re going to the halfway-house of bi-mode.

DG288445. 800023. Reading. 16.1.18

GWR are currently taking delivery of these Hitachi Class 800 bi-modes to replace their HST fleet. Does the Government seriously expect the MTU diesel engines to be redundant in 22 yrs time, and if so – how?

Whilst the announcement (or should that be ‘thinking aloud’) will be welcome news for companies like Alstom who have developed a Hydrogen powered train, it leaves more questions than it answers.

There’s one very noticeable omission in the ‘plan’: Freight.

The majority of the UKs railfreight is moved by powerful ‘go anywhere’ diesel locomotives. How will they be replaced by 2040 without electrifying the main freight routes? As many depots and sidings aren’t electrified train builders have fitted ‘last mile’ diesel powerpacks to electric locos. Realistically, can these be replaced by hydrogen or battery power by 2040? And what about the miles of freight lines where diesel operation’s the only viable option? Freight operators exist on very small margins as it is. How would this proposal affect the economics of their operations?

DG246897. Siemens Vectron production line. Munich. Germany. 27.6.16

Siemens Vectron locomotives under construction in Vienna in 2016. These modular locos are can be built as diesel or electric. The version in VR livery is an electric fitted with a ‘last mile’ diesel power-pack.

The current workhorse of UK freight operators is the Class 66. Without widespread electrification, what else could deliver the power at rail needed to move heavy freight trains hundreds of miles at up to 75mph? A Canadian plan for a hydrogen powered locomotive shows that it would be two units, with the second carrying the hydrogen. Doubling the size of the locomotive increases maintenance costs and potentially leads to shorter trains due to the capacity of sidings and loops (also increasing costs).

DG279645. 66206. Golant. 21.8.17

A DB Cargo Class 66 hauls empty china clay wagons away form the harbour at Fowey, Cornwall.

So, I remain sceptical about the ‘plan’ as I don’t see a firm policy or long-term strategy from DfT or Ministers that will allow this to happen, which is a shame as Johnson’s aim is laudable. Recently, I blogged about the change to air quality at Paddington station which was evident now the HSTs and DMU’s were being replaced by electric traction. Sadly, with diesel bi-modes and back-tracking on electrification we seem to be going in the wrong direction.

 

The stop Hs2 campaign’s as dead as a Dodo.

31 Wednesday Jan 2018

Posted by Paul Bigland in Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Rail Investment, Rail Moderinsation, StopHs2

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Hs2, Railways, StopHs2

As expected, yesterday’s vote on the 2nd reading of the Hs2 Hybrid bill for phase 2a from the West Midlands to Crewe was (to put it mildly) a walkover. The bill passed with a crushing result of 295 Ayes and just 12 Noes. 12! Remember that 41 MPs voted against phase 1 of Hs2, which shows how much the anti campaign’s collapsed. Many of the usual suspects (Chery Gillan and Michael Fabricant being the most prominent) voted no but some familiar names abstained, including Labour’s Kelvin Hopkins, Barry Sheerman, Dennis Skinner and Kier Starmer. This was despite Sheerman speaking during the debate and saying how much he opposed Hs2 – but not enough to vote against it, which makes him as much use as a chocolate fireguard! What’s interesting is how all the usual Labour antis abstained this time but Sir Kevin Barron, the MP for Rother Valley voted (for the first time) against Hs2. This suggests to me that the Labour Party hierarchy gave him a free pass as his is the only constituency on the phase 2 route to Leeds that has any real opposition to Hs2. When I crunched the numbers this morning 1382 constituents had signed the Stop Hs2 petition. That’s still only 1.46% of course, but the nearest to it is Bolsover with a measly 0.43%!

In another twist, the antis favourite Tory leadership candidate (who was supposed to oppose Hs2), Jacob Rees Mogg actually voted for it! Not only Mogg did a volte face. So did seven other MPs from the 41 who’d voted against Phase 1. They were;

Steve Baker (High Wycombe)

Bob Blackman (Harrow Est)

Peter Bone (Wellingborough)

Chris Chope (Christchurch)

Mark Pawsey (Rugby)

Chris Pincher (Tamworth)

John Redwood (Wokingham)

What happened politically was the Labour party abstained, knowing full well the Tory’s had the numbers to carry the bill through with a large majority without them – although 13 Labour MPs (many of whom have held transport briefs) did support the bill. There were some interesting patterns too, all of the 13 MPs on the remaining Phase 2 route to Manchester abstained, as did 14 of the 22 on the phase 2 route to Leeds, whilst 6 voted yes and only 2 no.

Of course Stophs2 tried some desperate spin, whinging that over half of MPs were absent or abstained, but this ‘look over there’ tactic couldn’t hide the fact many of those abstaining were their suporters!

Worse was to come when it became evident that some MPs targeted by ‘action’ groups in Yorkshire & Derbyshire had voted to build the line. Broxtowe’s Anna Soubry and Erqewash’s Maggie Throup being examples! Whilst articulating their constituents concerns it was obvious neither MP was afraid of the tiny but noisy anti Hs2 ‘action’ groups in their constituencies. Both MPs know more constituents will benefit from the opportunities Hs2 will bring rather than suffer.

This leaves the Stop Hs2 campaign as dead as a dodo. Nationally, it’s disintegrated. Hs2 Action Alliance gave up years ago and the ‘Joe & Penny’ show (aka StopHs2) is a joke with Rukin increasingly absent. Essentially, it’s Penny whinging about Hs2 via the internet from her home in Bournemouth!

It’s obvious the local action groups attempts to frighten MPs into supporting them have either failed or backfired, which really does beg the question – what’s the point anymore?

Phase 2a is now a done deal. Nothing short of a miracle can stop its progress to Royal Assent despite the fantasy beliefs of of a few antis who don’t understand the Parliamentary process on Hybrid bills. What’s crystal clear is that cross party support for Hs2 is as stong as ever. Unless this breaks down…Another sign of their failure is the fact only 188 petitions have been received on Phase 2a. Contrast that with the 1,925 which were received in a futile attempt to bog down Phase 1. I’ve blogged about the 188 received here.

The only lobbying of MPs is being done by the local ‘action’ groups but tactically they’re inept. In many cases ‘lobbying’ means trying to throw their non-existant weight around and blustering rather than admitting that they can’t stop Hs2 & focussing on discussing compensation and mitigation instead.

From some of the posturing and levels of denial I’ve seen on Twitter today it’s clear the penny hasn’t dropped with some antis yet. For some it never will. This presents the remaining ‘action’ groups with a problem. Either they ditch these people or the ship goes down with all hands. Will there now be an outbreak of common-sense on the phase 2 route to Leeds (the only one left with active groups)?

Whatever way, it’s obvious the national StopHs2 campaign exists in name only.

2019 is the start of the end for Pacer trains, so here’s a pictorial review.

12 Friday Jan 2018

Posted by Paul Bigland in Down memory lane, Pacers, Rail Investment, Railways

≈ 10 Comments

Tags

Down memory lane, Pacers, Rail Investment, Railways

*NOTE*. This blog was updated with extra photos and notes on January 22nd and August 25th 2018 and again on December 4th 2019.

I’m not intending to go into a full history of the BR built Pacer trains as that’s been done many time before. Instead I’m going to go through my archive to illustrate their life and times whilst offering some personal recollections.

Pacers have been a feature of the railway scene since the mid 1980’s but now their time’s drawing to a close. The first sets will go off-lease after the May timetable change, then there’ll be a steady decline in the numbers until – one day – they’ll all be gone (which is due to be by 2020). Whilst disliked by many passengers (especially commuters) they’re not universally unpopular. Many train crews I’ve spoken to actually admit to liking them! I’ve a soft spot for them too – mainly because they allow you such good views of some of the scenic lines they’re used on. In that respect they’re far superior to the Class 150 fleet. Pacers have also earned their place in history. There’s little doubt that they helped save many a branch line from closure back in the 1980s so we should be grateful for them in some ways. Admittedly, they were far less fun when they were doing their maximum speed on jointed track. I’ve travelled on them coming back from Sheffield  to Huddersfield  several times when they were more like bucking bronco’s than nodding donkeys!

I’ve no recollection of travelling on the original narrow-bodied Class 141 Pacers, but I do remember encountering many of them during my travels around Yorkshire back in the 1980’s-90’s – especially around Leeds (they were based at the city’s Neville Hill depot) and Sheffield. Here’s a few memories.

01489. 141113. Sheffield. 16.9.90.

141113 stabled at Sheffield on the 16th September 1990. The unit’s sporting the West Yorkshire PTE livery that was applied to the 141s after they were rebuilt. This particular unit survives today. It’s preserved by the Llangollen Railcar Group.

13306. 55541 from 141120. Wolverton.15.12.03

Vehicle 55541 from unit 141120 awaits scrapping at Wolverton works on the 15th December 2003. It was cut up the following year.

Over the years the Pacers have carried a variety of liveries. There’s also a wide variation in their interiors and other detail differences. Here’s a look at a  few of them.

00487. 142015. Southport. 17.2.90.

142015 at Southport on the 17th February 1990. It’s still wearing the mock GWR livery that was applied to members of the fleet which had been operating in Cornwall and Devon. Branded as ‘skippers’ they were unsuited to the sharp branch line curves so were eventually transferred North. Unusually, the unit is seen on the Wall side siding. This has a pit, which suggests the set needed inspecting.

01250. 142002. Southport. 27.5.90.

142002 at Southport on the 27th May 1990. Its wearing the orange and brown livery and branding of Greater Manchester PTE.

02559. 142516. lime St. 17.6.91.

‘Skipper’ liveried 142516 at Liverpool Lime St on the 17th June 1991. I’m trying to remember why some of these units were briefly renumbered in the 1425xx series. If I remember correctly they were units allocated to Heaton depot in Newcastle.

02125. 142059. 1220 to Mcr. Blackburn. 3.4.91.

This scene is unrecognisable today! 142059 stands at the old Lancashire and Yorkshire railway station at Blackburn on the 3rd April 1991. 059 is one of two Class 142s to have been scrapped due to accidents. Later that year it ran-away and collided with the buffer stops at Liverpool Lime St, which led to it being withdrawn.

06602. 142020. Middlesborough. 30.4.97.

142020 along with a ‘Skipper’ liveried set stands at Middlesbrough on the 30th April 1997. It’s wearing Tyne and Wear as well as Regional Railways branding.

11551. FNW Class 142 passes over the Leeds and Liverpool canal. Wigan. 28.11.2002

Operated by First NorthWestern but wearing a revised Greater Manchester PTE livery, an unknown 142 passes over the Leeds and Liverpool canal on the approach to Wigan Wallgate station on the 28th November 2002.

DG05344. 142044. Hoscar. 9.2.06.

142044 speeds past Hoscar on the Southport-Wigan line on the 9th February 2006. This unit carries Merseyrail livery. These sets had been refurbished with a new interior and better destination blinds. The small bus-type ones were replaced with a much larger dot-matrix type.

DG05341. Northern 142. Hoscar. 9.2.06.

Also seen at Hoscar on the same day in 2006 was this First NorthWestern, blue and gold liveried Class 142

DG08772. 142015. Newcastle upon Tyne. 12.12.06.

On the 12th December 2006 Arriva liveried 142015 crosses the Tyne at Newcastle

DG10626. Northern class 142. Burnley. 25.5.07.

A Merseyrail liveried 142 crosses the Burnley viaduct whilst working a Colne to Blackpool South service on the 25th of May 2007

DG12553. Northern 142. Parton. 22.9.07.

An Arriva liveried 142 passes the Cumbrian coast at Parton on the 22nd September 2007. This beautiful line is a delight to explore on a Pacer because of their big windows and all round views.

DG45979. Interior. 142052. 12.3.10.

The refurbished interior of Merseyrail’s 142056, showing the low-backed replacement for the original bus-style bench seats and the new PIS screen at the back of the cab bulkhead.

DG12880. 142014. 142094. Wigan Wallgate. 2.10.07.

142014 (with white numbers) and 142094 pass at Wigan Wallgate on the 2nd October 2007

DG192563. Northern Class 142. Edale. 7.9.14.

A Northern 42 heads through the beautiful Hope valley at Edale whilst working a service from Sheffield to Manchester Piccadilly on the 7th September 2014.

DG18202. 142064. Dawlish. 4.8.08.

142064 leads a classmate along the beach at Dawlish on the 4th August 2008. A dozen Class 142s were loaned to First Great Western from Northern in 2007. The last ones returned in 2011. All were based at Exeter, which was nicknamed ‘the Donkey Sanctuary’ by some FGW staff.

DG55897. FGW 142 and Lympstone. 22.6.10.

A FGW 142 passes the Swan Inn at Lympstone on the Exmouth branch on the 22nd June 2010.

DG56173. 142001. Exeter Riverside. 23.6.10.

The first built Class 142 was one of those loaned to First Great Western. Here it is climbing the bank between Exeter St David’s and Exeter Central on the 23rd June 2010

DG199592. 142038. Summit tunnel. 31.10.14.

142038 is about to enter the Summit tunnel on the Calder Valley line on the 31st October 2014

DG214110. 142029. 150137. Todmordon. 17.5.15

A Class 150 and 142 in multiple are seen from across the rooftops in Todmordon whilst working through the Calder Valley on the 17th May 2015.

DG14628. Northern conductor at work. 29.2.08.

A Northern conductor prepares to open the doors on a Pacer

A good place see to find Pacers nowadays are the lines from Manchester Piccadilly out to New Mills Central and Rose Hill Marple. Not only is it an intensive service but services are usually operated by pairs of Pacers like this.

DG305742. 142033. 142057. Romily. 21.8.18

142033 and 142057 leave Romiley with a service to Manchester Piccadilly

I’ve blogged about the lines in detail here.

As well as the British-Leyland/BREL Class 142s, BR also purchased a different design from Andrew Barclay. These were based on an Alexander bus body and were built at Kilmarnock between 1985-86. They were originally put into service in the North-East before being transferred to South Wales and the South-West. After privatisation the Class was split between Arriva Trains Wales and Wessex trains (later First Great Western)

DG277275. 143601. Cardiff Queen St. 24.7.17

First of the class 143601, sporting the original Arriva Trains Wales livery leaves Cardiff Queen St for Cardiff Central on the 24th July 2017.

DG277341. 142076. 143625. Cardiff Queen St. 24.5.17

Two varieties of Pacer pass at Cardiff Central on the 24th May 2017. Leyland/BREL 142076 in old Arriva livery and Barclay/Alexander 143625 in revised Arriva livery.

DG10460. 143603. Standish Jn. 2.5.07.

On the 2nd May 2007 143603 passes Standish Junction whilst working a Gloucester to Swindon service.

DG19110. 143621. Bristol Temple Meads. 3.10.08.

On the 30th October 2008 a rather tatty 143621 approaches Bristol Temple Meads. Many 143s had been given different advertising liveries. In this case ‘Visit Bristol’ – although I’m not entirely sure the train or the state of it was a great  advert for the city!

DG249998. 143619. Copplestone. 15.8.16

143619 Calls at Copplestone on the Barnstaple branch whilst en-route to the end of the line on the 15th August 2016. By this time all the units were in the attractive First Great Western ‘Dynamic lines’ livery (with the lines made up of place names on the network).

Two of the Class 143 sets gave themselves Viking funerals back in the early 2000’s, these were sets 143613 and 143615. The effects of the fires were rather spectacular, as these two pictures show.

DG04501. 143613. Crewe works open day. 10.9.05

The fire had been so severe on this car of set 143613 that the underframe has buckled and drooped. The unit was at Crewe works and could be viewed at the open day on the 10th September 2005.

DG04505. 143615. Crewe works open day. 10.9.05

143615, bearing Valley lines livery was the other member of the class that self-combusted. It’s also seen at Crewe works open day in 2005.

The final batch of Pacers are the Class 144. These were Alexander bodies on BREL underframes. They now operate across Yorkshire, especially around Leeds which is where they’re based. At one time they did used to have diagrams which took them across the border into Lancashire.

DG204045. 144022. Huddersfield. 6.1.15

Northern liveried 144022 crosses Paddock viaduct in Huddersfield whilst working a Huddersfield to Sheffield (via Penistone) service on the 6th January 2015

DG160605. 142091. 142018. 144012. Huddersfield. 22.9.13.

A trio of Pacers stabled for the weekend in the yard at Huddersfield. Along with their Class 15x brothers, the units work services to Sheffield, Leeds, Bradford and Wakefield

DG83479. 144015. Neville Hill. 3.6.11.

144015 sits inside Leeds Neville Hill depot on the 3rd June 2011. The fleet are based at and maintained by the depot.

DG12743. Northern 144s. Halifax. 25.9.07.

A pair of Class 144 Pacers arrive at Halifax, West Yorkshire on the 25th September 2007.

DG255134. Interior. 144021. 15.9.16

High backed Richmond seating as fitted to refurbished Pacer 144021, seen on the 15th September 2016

DG255574. Driver and passengers. Sheffield.16.9.16

A driver waits to take 144023 on a service from Sheffield on the 16th September 2016

Of course, no mention of the Pacers would be complete without a look at the sole 144e (E for Evolution) number 144012. This unit was rebuilt by Porterbrook at the RVEL workshop in Derby back in 2015. Here it is in service at Huddersfield in 2016.

DG242334. 144012. Huddersfield. 8.4.16

I wrote about the launch and published a series of internal views of the unit in this blog

UPDATE: 25th August 2018

The letting of the new Welsh rail franchise has spelled the death knell of Pacers in Wales. It’s been announced that they’ll be replaced from next year by older DMUs which will be cascaded to the franchise from elsewhere.

Update: 12th August 2019

The first of the Pacers has been ceremonially withdrawn today. 142005 was adorned with banners announcing its ‘retirement’ and shown off to the press at Manchester Victoria before working a final service to Stalybridge. Expect many more to follow now…

Update 4th December 2019.

Yesterday the first Pacer began its final journey to the scrapyard. 142005, which was withdrawn in August become the first Pacer to meet this fate. It’s being moved by road to Booths, Rotherham in two parts. It’s seen here at Rainford Junction whilst working an Ormskirk to Manchester Victoria service along with classmate 142051 on the 27th September 2018.

DG309910. 142005. 142051. Rainford. 27.9.18crop

A look at Huddersfield station

05 Friday Jan 2018

Posted by Paul Bigland in Architecture, Food and drink, History, Huddersfield, Railways, Travel

≈ 1 Comment

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Food and drink. Pubs, History, Huddersfield, Railways, Travel

Don’t ask me about best laid plans, mine seem to change all the time! It’s one of the beauties and frustrations of being freelance! Today I’ve found myself working from the ACoRP (Association of Community Rail Partnerships) water tower cum office in Huddersfield which is part of the superb grade 1 listed station. How’s this for a place to work?

DG138747. ACoRP Office. Huddersfield. 17.2.13.

The water tower stands in what’s now a car park but in the 1960’s it was a locomotive stabling yard, complete with a turntable which was situated right outside the building.

I love Huddersfield’s architecture. Well, most of it anyway. George Square outside the station is surrounded by a selection of stunning Victorian buildings that make a fantastic backdrop for the annual food and drink festival which is held over 4 days in August.

DG160608. Wilson statue outside the station. Huddersfield. 22.9.13..JPG

The grand entrance to Huddersfield station seen from the square, complete with statue of former Labour Prime Minister Harold Wilson, who was born in the town in 1916

 

DG60541. Crowds. Huddersfield food drink festival. 14.8.10.

The food and drink festival in the square outside the station. The building on the left is the (closed) George Hotel which was the place where Rugby league was born.

The station’s a real community hub. Not only is it the gateway to the town, it’s also a destination in its own right. It’s most well-known for its two pubs (The Head of Steam and the Kings Head) and Felix, the station cat (who even has its own Facebook page). But there’s a lot more too – as well as having a warm and welcoming café on the island platforms which does a mean bacon teacake (as they call them in these parts) the lobby hosts a range of food providers on different days of the week. For example, on Wednesdays you can buy artisan breads from this stall. The area also doubles as an exhibition space for local artists.

DG176254. Handmade bakery selling loaves at Huddersfield station. 16.4.14

Here’s a look inside the Kings Head pub on the Leeds end of the station. It’s undergone a fantastic restoration job in the past few years, which has exposed the wonderful ceiling and reopened side rooms. The work’s led to it winning a Railway Heritage award.

DG283267. Interior of the Kings Head on the station. Huddersfield. 4.10.17

So, what’s not to like? Trains, food, beer and architecture. If you’ve never been to Huddersfield station before – why not pay a visit? But beware, because it’s on the Rail Ale trail it can get extremely busy at weekends – and if Huddersfield Town are playing at home it can be bonkers, so I’d recommend a weekday if you can make it.

2018 and the usual rail fares furore…

02 Tuesday Jan 2018

Posted by Paul Bigland in Rail fares, Rail Investment, Railways, Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

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Rail fares, Rail Investment, Railways

Normality has resumed after the New Year holiday. Train services are running as per the usual timetable (with the odd exception) and some of the major investment projects carried out over the holiday period have borne fruit. London Bridge station’s seen the last 5 rebuilt platforms open, The GWML has seen electric train services extended from Reading to Didcot and more works been completed on the EGIP project in Scotland. Oh, and we’ve had the annual fare increase kick-in, which has produced the usual gush of uninformed comment and politicking over railway nationalisation from the Labour party.

What’s lost in this mass of misinformation is the facts around the fare increases. They’re calculated on the basis of the Retail Price Index – which has shot up in the part year due to Brexit and the fall in the pound leading to inflation. Also, let’s not forget that this isn’t ‘profiteering’ by the Train operators, but a rise in fares regulated by the Government. It’s a political decision. In fact, I’m told the unregulated fares (those set by the train operators themselves) have risen by less than the 3.6% regulated fares have.

I’ve got to give a hat-tip to @DirectorSERG for supplying this handy little chart which details BR fare increases from 1972 until 1994.

BR fares increases

As you can see, the majority were all well above the rate of inflation and there were some eye-watering ones of 50.7% in 1975 and 42.1% in 1980. It’s a rather useful antidote to the rose-tinted views of some that BR = good, Privatisation = bad. Quite how nationalisation is meant to cut rail fares whilst guaranteeing the levels of investment we’re seeing in the railways is a question Labour don’t seem too keen on answering.

Meanwhile, it’s worth remembering that the TOC’s aren’t exactly ‘fat cats’. Their margins are around 3%, which compares very favourably with other state-owned railways like the Netherlands, which would expect a 7% return.

 

Welcome to 2018 and my first blog on an old subject – Hs2

01 Monday Jan 2018

Posted by Paul Bigland in Hs2, Railways, StopHs2

≈ 1 Comment

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Hs2, Politics, Railways, StopHs2

I’m kick-starting the new year with a bit of number-crunching and a look at the stophs2 campaign, which hasn’t had a great 2017 and which is set to have an even lousier 2018! their last remaining umbrella group (Stophs2) is hanging on by the skin of it’s teeth but if it survives the year in anything but name it’ll be a minor miracle. There’s really nothing going on.

The political campaign has skidded to a stop and apart from a few ineffectual protesters shuffling around the pavement at the Harvil Rd protest there’s very little happening on the ground. A few local action groups are trying to keep up local pressure, but as the number of signatures on the latest Stophs2 petition show, there’s not much support for them outside the small number of people directly affected by the Hs2 routes.

So, lets have a look at that petition. I’ve broken it down into phase 1 and the two legs to Manchester and Leeds. Here’s phase 1.

petition phase 1 1 Jan

The numbers that are most significant are the percentages of all constituents who’ve signed. As you can see, they’re tiny, even in the campaign’s ‘heartlands’. Only two constituencies have more than 1%. What’s also significant is the numbers who’ve signed in December. None are in triple figures.

Of course, this petitions pretty pointless on phase 1 anyway as Hs2’s a done-deal here and it’s being built. Now let’s have a look at The leg to Manchester.

petition phase 2 M'cr 1 Jan

The figures here are appalling. 7 constituencies had no-one signing in December and the one’s that did get them never got into double figures! What this betrays is the lack of organised stophs2 ‘action’ groups on this stretch of Hs2. Apart from on in Mid-Cheshire and another around Stone, there’s bugger-all going on. No groups exist in Manchester at all. As the phase 2a Hybrid Bill is due to start its passage through Parliament this month it will be interesting to see how the lack of any organised opposition affects its progress.

Next up – the route to Leeds.

Petition phase 2 Leeds. 1 jan

The numbers are little better here. Only 3 constituencies have got into double figures and the percentages are tiny. Only one stands out – Rother valley. But even here the percentage signing is still under 1.5% of constituents. Clearly, there are more ‘action’ groups here, but they’re not achieving much and they’re having no impact on a national scale.

Here’s some more number-crunching. This is the numbers of people signing the petition by month.

signs

As you can see, the monthly average is dropping like a stone. The petition’s clearly doomed. It’s already more than 35,500 behind target. Put simply, they’re running out of Nimbys or those folks allied to groups opposed to Hs2 like the Green party of right-wing organisations like the TPA, IEA or what’s left of UKIP. In other words, they’re stuffed as they have no political clout.

There’s another interesting number too. Stophs2 claim 5901 followers on Twitter, so how many of those followers have retweeted and spread the petition? Just 94 in 96 days. So much for their social media campaign!

stophs2 31 dec

Notice the hollow boast about the number of people signing? Today (96 days later) they’re on 22,882! The story of apathy and inaction is the same on their Facebook page and website. They’ve run out of steam and support everywhere.

I can’t see The Dept of Transport or Government  being too worried about their campaign nowadays as it’s pretty much ceased to exist. Rent-a-quote Joe Rukin, their ‘grandly titled ‘Campaign Manager’ has been looking for a proper job for some time. If and when he goes the game’s up as Stophs2 is pretty much a one man & his dog operation. The group’s Chair, Penny Gaines, decamped to the South-West some years ago. In November 2017 Stophs2 lost two out of its five Directors, including Roger Waller who’d allowed his home address in Dunsmore, Aylesbury to be used as the groups registered office. The registered address has now moved to Rukin’s in Caesar Rd, Kenilworth (although Rukin resigned as a Director as long ago as January 2011). The remaining Directors are Gaines, Rae Sloan and Richard Lloyd – although how long they’ll hang on is anyone’s guess.

Somehow, I doubt I’ll be spending much time blogging about Stophs2 in future.

 

 

2017. A personal reflection on the year…

31 Sunday Dec 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in Diary, Railways, Travel, Uncategorized

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Tags

Railways, Travel

I’m not really sorry to be seeing the back of 2017. To say it’s been a mixed year is an understatement. It started well enough as I spent the first couple of months travelling through South-East Asia. I’d been planning to revisit some old haunts in Indonesia for some time, so – after a holiday in Thailand with my fiancé Dawn and time with friends I headed off solo to catch up with an old friend in Bali before travelling across Java. First stop was Surabaya, where I met Bagus, a Facebook friend and fellow photographer and rail enthusiast. It was my first visit to the city and I have to say I thoroughly enjoyed it – along with some trips out to the countryside to photograph trains in the landscape. Afterwards, I moved on by rail to Jakarta which I hadn’t visited since 1992. I’ve voluminous notes from the trip which I keep meaning to write up – but I’ve never found the time (yet, but it’s one of my new year resolutions!) Moving on again I stopped off for a week in Singapore to explore the growing metro system and spend time with another Facebook friend – Nicholas Lim, before heading overland to Malaysia and the long train ride from Kota Baru to Kuala Lumpur (another one I’ve yet to write up!) where I explored the expanding metro systems and parlous state of the KTMB suburban network before heading onwards to one of my favourite old haunts – Georgetown on Penang Island, where I enjoyed a bit of R&R.

Moving on again I travelled on a much-changed KTMB network to the Thai Border and  Hat Yai before catching a sleeper train to Bangkok. That trip was aboard some of the new Chinese built sleeping coaches and I managed to blog about it here. You can see all my pictures from the trip in this gallery.

Back in Bangkok there was time for me to explore the expanding metro system before flying back to Brexit Britain, which I wasn’t really looking forward to. My travels through Asia made me all too aware of how backward looking the UK had become and also how out of touch with commercial realities the hard-line Brexit fans who insist we’d be ‘free’ to trade globally really were.

Things didn’t improve on my return. I’d been following the Brexitshambles with increasing incredulity and despair ever since. Politicians from all parties seem incapable of admitting to the public what a disaster Brexit is. The whole country’s been caught up in an internal Tory party squabble over Europe that’s got completely out of hand. The Brexit nutters slogan ‘take back control’ is going to go down as one of the most stupid ever as it’s becoming painfully obvious that we’ve done nothing of the sort. My only hope is that as this truth becomes more evident throughout 2018 we have an outbreak of common-sense and political pragmatism before our relationship with our EU partners and the economy are both wrecked.

Looking beyond Brexit to my commercial work I have to say I’ve really enjoyed the year. I’ve written a series of articles for RAIL magazine, thoroughly enjoyed doing it and I’m looking forward to penning many more. In 2018 I’ll be conducting my biennial rail-tour round the UK which should be fascinating as a lot’s changed since 2016. I’ve had some fascinating photographic commissions too and my role as a Judge for the annual ACoRP awards gave me the opportunity to meet some truly inspiring groups and individuals.

On the personal front life’s been a bit of a rollercoaster. The highlight of the year was Dawn and I getting married on November 11th. It was an event that exceeded both our expectations. The pair of us wanted an informal, inclusive wedding that wasn’t stuffy. We had a fabulous day with family and friends that was a delight. The fact we were asked to cut the wedding cake asap so that the floor was clear for people to dance said it all. So many people have mentioned that they’ve never been to a wedding where the dance-floor was packed all night…

Sadly, the wedding was put into perspective by the sad death of my new sister-in-law, Jo Platt, who died of cancer just a month later. We knew she was terminally ill before the wedding but had no idea the cancer was so aggressive. Dawn and I spent time with her in the days before she passed away. Jo gave us some tasks to do for her which led to what’s the saddest assignment I’ve ever had – to fulfil a dying woman’s wish. Jo asked me to take a scenic shot of a local Surrey beauty spot (Frensham Great Pond) which was special to her and her husband, Darren. Jo wanted it to be given to Darren as a keepsake – but for a week the weather was awful and Jo’s time was running out. Finally, the Gods smiled and we had one glorious Thursday evening where I managed to get a selection of pictures and Jo had the opportunity to choose the one she wanted. We were just in time. Jo passed away peacefully at home the following Monday. I hope I never have another job like that again..

Because of events our honeymoon has been postponed and we’re beginning the New year back home in Yorkshire. Our plans are to make the absolute most of 2018. We’ve a lot of exciting things planned (of which there’ll be more news shortly). I’m determined to get back to blogging, so expect a flurry of blogs on railways, travel, Brexit and of course HS2!

In the meantime, I hope you all have a very Happy New Year and a fabulous 2018. Thanks for stopping by to read my blog and/or visit my photographic website.

Another day, another dollar…

27 Friday Oct 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in I love my job, Railways, Travel, Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

I love my job, Railways, Travel

Days at home are all too rare right now, although I shouldn’t really complain. Monday – Tuesday saw me commuting to London for various jobs, Wednesday had me working out of the ACoRP office in Huddersfield, Thursday was a chance to catch up on some paperwork and picture editing at home. Today I’m back on the rails again, heading to York for another job for RAIL magazine. This afternoon I return to London as Dawn and I are spending a couple of nights in the capital to celebrate my birthday, then have a day with friends to celebrate our forthcoming wedding. I’ve eschewed the traditional stag night. Instead I’ve opened the day up to both sexes and invited friends to meet the pair of us on Saturday as we visit one or two of London’s finest hostelries!
As much as I love travelling, I’m looking forward to having more time at home. The Pennines are beautiful this time of year. Autumn brings crisp mornings, gorgeous light and a fantastic array of colours as the trees shed their leaves. I’m looking forward to being able to enjoy these sights on some weekend walks – if we can fit them in before the wedding!

StopHs2. Hoist by their own petard!

14 Saturday Oct 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in Anti Hs2 mob, Railways, StopHs2

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Rail Investment, Railways, StopHs2

You have to laugh! The anti Hs2 campaign’s in the doldrums after a terrible political party conference season, coupled with the fact that, well, they’re pretty much irrelevant nowadays. So, to try and fill space on their website and pretend that something’s happening that isn’t a disaster, Joe Rukin penned this…

Here’s a screengrab.rukin, stockport

Question Time vets its audience and invites them from a wide area. This is hardly representative of Stockport, but let’s just play along with Joe’s spin for a while. ‘Stockport agrees Hs2 is a monumental waste of money’. Really?

Let’s ignore the fact that there’s not a single StopHs2 (in)action group in the whole of Greater Manchester. The nearest one is the ineffectual Mid-Cheshire group, who’ve had to pretend to be from Manchester in the past (here they are in 2014). So, what’s the hard  evidence for such a claim? Well, why don’t we have a look at the new national petition that StopHs2 started last month? Surely, Stockport will register in that as an absolute hotbed of anti Hs2 feeling – as Rukin’s claimed. Oh, wait…

Here’s a screenshot of the petition results from Stockport, taken earlier today.

stockport

A grand total of 9 constituency residents, 0.01%…

As usual, Rukin’s bullshit and bombast falls just as soon as you start looking at the truth.

 

 

 

Stop Hs2 never learn…

25 Monday Sep 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Hs2 petitions, Politics, StopHs2

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Hs2 petitions, Railways

I’ve not blogged about the anti Hs2 campaign for some time, mainly because their campaign’s collapsed. There’s nothing going on nationally, just a dwindling number of folk moaning about Hs2 on Twitter. Locally, a few campaign groups on Phase 2 continue to make a noise, but their numbers are small and there’s little in the way of co-ordination.

However, last Thursday, Joe Rukin of the sole surviving ‘national’ group (Stop Hs2) decided to start yet another anti Hs2 petition using the Governments template. What a bad idea! I’ve always said that (like social media), these petitions are a double-edged sword. They’re just as likely to show a campaign’s weaknesses as much as its strengths – as is the case here. Regular readers will know I love this petition format as it provided some very interesting numbers to crunch. Signatories are identified by constituency and a total is given as a percentage of resident constituents. So, this morning I crunched the numbers. The petition will run until March 2018, which means Stophs2 have 6 months of embarrassment to come (if they last that long).

Here’s a link to the petition itself. Hs2 petition.PNG

The map that comes with the petition’s the really useful resource as it highlights the constituents with the largest number of signs using different colours. The darker the colour, the more who’ve signed. Now, spot where Hs2 goes!

hs2 petition map

Straight away the map explodes the myth that the Stop Hs2 campaign’s national. It’s clear that it’s anything but. Folk signing the petition are mostly living on the route, with the greatest concentration on Phase 1 around the Chilterns!

Here’s the number crunching, firstly for constituencies on Hs2 Phase 1 – which is a done deal now.

hs2 numbers p1

The first figure is the number of constituents, the second is the number who’ve signed the petition and the final one is the percentage of constituents. The first fact that leaps out is how tiny the percentages are, the largest is just over half 1%! The second fact is that phase 1 signatories make up a third of the grand total of 6229. The other fact is that other constituencies on the phase 1 route aren’t on the spreadsheet as the numbers of signatories are so small.

Now let’s have a look at Phase 2. I’ve divided them between the two legs of Hs2, Manchester and Leeds. Lets look at the Manchester route first.

p2 M'cr

What’s fascinating about this is that so few constituencies Hs2 passes through feature. This proves what I’ve been saying for some time, the stop Hs2 campaign’s always been weak here (there’s never been a single anti Hs2 group in Manchester for example) but now it looks like it’s pretty much collapsed. Despite the presence of a small but noisy Mid-Cheshire ‘action’ group, Congleton constituency only has 25 signs. Stafford has 31.

Now let’s look at the Leeds leg.

hs2 leeds

The numbers show that all the noise that’s come from one or two groups in Yorkshire and elsewhere hasn’t translated into signatures and the percentages for the constituencies are well below what we see on phase 1, which suggests there’s far less outrage about Hs2 here.

It’s worth remembering that these petitions get the greatest number of signs in the first few days. Once the activists have signed, numbers drop off rapidly. To reach it’s target the petition needs over 555 signs every single day for the duration. There’s no chance of that happening. This petition’s utterly pointless. The only thing it’s doing is allowing people to monitor the pulse of the stophs2 ‘campaign’. Judging by these numbers, it won’t be long before someone turns off its life-support machine. I’ll report back monthly, just to monitor what happens.

 

 

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