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Will Hs2 feature in the general election? Will it heck…

19 Wednesday Apr 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in 2017 General election, Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Politics, StopHs2, Uncategorized, YorkshireStopHs2

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2017 General election, Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Hs2 petitions, StopHs2

As all the parties start getting over their surprise that a general election’s been called and begin to muster their troops I thought it worth looking at the stophs2 campaign and their hope that Hs2 will be an election issue. Of course, the answer is – will it hell.

Since Hs2 appeared on the scene we’ve had two general elections (in 2010 and 2015) and numerous local elections. None of them have seen any serious swing or influence brought about by Hs2 or the people who oppose it.

StopHs2’s ‘Campaign Manager’, Joe Rukin even went as far as to stand for MP in Kenilworth in 2010. He later admitted to the Hs2 petitioning Ctte that it was a con to get a free Stophs2 mailshot out to voters, but even that didn’t do any good. He got all of 327 votes or 0.7% and this was meant to be an anti Hs2 ‘stronghold’! Nowadays Rukin has pretty much given up and spends most of his time ranting about football on Twitter rather than Hs2. (see @JoeRukin). The other umbrella group (Hs2aa) threw in the towel last year, so don’t expect any anti hs2 publicity in local or national media in the run-up to the election as the anti hs2 campaign’s skint.

Another oddball that’s tried to stand on a StopHs2 ticket is Nicholas Ward whom I blogged about here. He stood in Westminster North in 2015 and got 63 votes, then again in David Cameron’s old constituency of Witney in 2016 when he got 92 votes (0.2%)! It’s unknown if he’s going to throw away another deposit by standing again in this election.

Apart from solo players the only political parties that oppose Hs2 on the national stage are the Green Party and UKIP. The Greens claim to support the ‘principle’ of high-speed rail but then wrung their hands and bottled out of it when it actually came to doing so. Mind you, their rail and Hs2 policy is a dishonest mess. I dissected it previously in this blog. The Greens are currently standing at 3-4% in the polls. They have 1 MP and aren’t likely to achieve anything in June.

That leaves UKIP, who’re in such a political and financial mess nowadays it’s unlikely they’ll be fielding many candidates. Their new leader, Paul Nuttall, is such a Walter Mitty character he’d fit right in with the remaining anti Hs2 Nimbys. Despite proposing not one but THREE high-speed rail lines in their bonkers 2010 manifesto, UKIP flipped when they fell for Stophs2 campaign claims that there were plenty of votes to be had in areas like the Chilterns if they opposed Hs2. The problem was – it was a lie. I crunched the numbers in this blog. UKIP famously blustered they’d stop Hs2 with stuff like this:

UKIP Chilterns

UKIP managed to get 2nd place in Aylesbury Vale in the 2015 general election (partly on the back of Hs2) but came nowhere near beating the Tories, who had a majority of 17158, or 31% compared to UKIP’s 19.7%. Since then it’s all been downhill. A by-election was held this month following the resignation of UKIP District Councillor for Elmhurst, Andrew Hetherington. UKIP lost the seat to the Lib-Dems, which suggests Brexit’s more important than Hs2 nowadays. UKIP have lost their solitary MP and the party is in such a mess it’s not going to have any impact on Hs2.

What all these votes have demonstrated is that hs2 is only ever a Nimby issue. The only time it’s had any impact on elections is actually on the route of the line. Even then, it’s never been enough to upset the applecart. Of course, since 2015 things have moved on. Hs2 phase 1 has gained Royal Assent and the ‘national’ Stophs2 campaign’s fallen apart – as well as the Phase 1 campaign.

Now the focus has shifted to Phase 2, where the StopHs2 campaign is hopelessly disorganised, skint and without a coherent strategy. All it does is re-run the failed tactics used by Phase 1 Nimbys. To make matters worse, it has negligible political support. Only 2 out of Yorkshires 51 MPs opposed Hs2 and that figure hasn’t changed. If Labour do badly in the North and lose seats to the Tories, it’ll change nothing as Teresa May has made it plain she’ll build Hs2 (as have the Lib-Dems).

Could a change of Labour leadership after a June bloodbath change anything? No. Because the heartlands labour are likely to be reduced to (the metropolitan areas, like London, Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham and Sheffield) are exactly the cities that Hs2 will serve! They’ll be pushing for Hs2, not to Stop Hs2.

If the remaining Hs2 antis think the general election will somehow stop Hs2, they’re in for a yet another disappointment. Just like they were in 2010, and 2015.

The Brexit rhetoric gets darker

09 Thursday Mar 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in Brexit, Politics, UK, Uncategorized

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Brexit, Politics, UK

Remember when the victorious Leave campaign and it’s leaders assured us that Brexit would be the start of a new golden age in trade with Europe? Then, we were told tha the EU was bound to give us a great deal as ‘they need us more than we need them’. Cast aside for a moment the two very obvious flaws in this logic (the UK is a far smaller market then the EU and why in the name of God would they give a better deal to a country that’s just left?) and remember the idiotic and false claims. Like the one the buffoon Boris made about sales of prosecco? Or when he swore that despite Brexit, we’d still have access to the single market?

johnson

How hollow all those claims sound now.

Or how about David Davis, when he put the cat amongst the pigeons by saying that it was ‘very improbable’ that we’d stay in the single market and got slapped down by the PM, Teresa May?

The truth was, there never was a plan for Brexit and those who campaigned for it routinely lied about the advantages of leaving. There were none. Now the chickens are coming home to roost. The fanciful claims about the super deals we’d get from the EU have been dropped in favour of a much darker rhetoric. Now, it’s “no deal is better than a bad one”

We’ve gone from soft Brexit to hard Brexit in a few short months. Now, we stand to lose all those thing Boris Johnson said we’d always have – access to the single market. The right to live, work and study in the EU, freedom of movement – everything. Not only that, but come the day we actually leave – there would be no trade deals in place. Of course, brexiters love to brush such concerns aside, pretending there’d be no serious consequences if that happened. Really? How about British airlines being unable to fly? Here’s what Ryanair’s Michael O’ Leary and some EU leaders pointed out

Hard Brexit will be bad, very bad. Don’t be under any illusions over that. But that’s exactly the path Teresa May’s government – aided and abetted by Jeremy Corbyn and Co, are leading us down.

We’ve been conned. There is no upside to Brexit for ordinary people. There never was.

A trip on Bangkok’s new ‘purple line’.

15 Sunday Jan 2017

Posted by Paul Bigland in Bangkok, LRT, Thailand, Travel, Uncategorized

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Bangkok, LRT, Thailand

Just before leaving Bangkok I took a trip on the city’s new standard gauge ‘purple’ metro line the first half of which only opened to passengers on 6th August 2016. This section runs for 23km from Tao Poon, near Bang Sue North-West to Khlong Bang Phai in Rat Burana district.

I started my trip by getting a taxi through the choked city streets to Hualamphong station. Anyone who’s every travelled in the city will know its fearsome reputation for traffic jams which mean even the shortest journeys can take an age. You never know just how long it will take you to get from A-B by road. The Indonesians have an expression for it, ‘jam karet’ (‘rubber time’). Frustrating as it is for visitors, imagine what it must be like to be one of the cities long-suffering taxi or bus drivers, who must have the patience of Buddha.

Hualamphong had changed since my last visit in 2015, with mixed results. On the good side, there’s now a special ticket office for tourists which is located opposite platforms 7-8. The building used to be home to an excellent Thai soup kitchen that was full of steaming vats of different and delicious varieties from around the kingdom. I’d often eat there when I was staying nearby, so I’m sad to see it’s gone. Gone too are all the hawkers who used to sell food and drink on the platforms. No longer can you buy bamboo skewers of chicken or pork slowly grilled over charcoal, or the bags of sticky rice that used to accompany them. Even the shops that used to occupy the booths on platforms 4-5 are deserted. I think the slow demise of these eateries began when the authorities banned the sale & consumption of alcohol in 2014, after the rape and murder of the 13 year old girl aboard a train by a railway employee. It still seems an over the top response, especially as the crime wasn’t carried out by passengers. Shops and a food hall can be found on the  main concourse under the attractive arched roof, but the restaurant & bar on the mezzanine floor has closed down, which is a shame. It used to be a great place to sit, sip a beer and people watch before catching a train. There’s a couple more improvements on the platforms, as some have been equipped with electronic departure/arrival screens by the buffer stops and four of the roads outside the roof now have fancy canvas roofs covering the first few coach lengths. Even so, some of the life an interest seems to have gone out of the place. This wasn’t helped by the fact that services to Malaysia, Hat Yai & other Southern destinations in Thailand had all been cancelled due to unseasonal floods washing away the tracks in the South. Here’s a few pictures…

DG262462. All the platform shops are now closed and deserted. Hualamphong. Bangkok. Thailand. 11.1.17.JPG

Once these kiosks were busy little places supplying food and drink to passengers for the express trains to all points in Thailand, now they’re locked up and deserted.

Eschewing the tourist ticket office I bought a ticket to Bang Sue Junction from one of the ordinary ticket windows for the princely sum of 2 baht (less than 6p!). Not bad for an 11.5km journey – especially when you consider that the metro journey between the two would cost 70 baht! The train that took me there was made up of wooden seated 3rd Class coaches headed by a diesel loco built by Alsthom. No 4150 was one of the first batch of 54 supplied in 1975 although its one of the fleet that’s had its original engine replaced with an MTU 16V4000R41R power unit.

dg262470-expensive-ticket-hualamphong-bangkok-thailand-11-1-17

My ticket to Bang Sue. Not exactly a King’s ransom…

The trip to Bang Sue was the usual stop/start affair as we negotiated several busy level crossings en-route. They don’t exactly help traffic flows around the city and they’re one of the reasons that the main terminus for Bangkok is moving to Bang Sue. Although it’s years late and still under construction, the new station is already an impressive sight. The first inkling that you’re getting close when you see the enormous, twin track concrete viaducts rise on either side of the existing lines before they sweep across to the right in a wide arc to what was the site of Bang Sue’s carriage sidings and goods yard. These have been swept away to make way for the site of the new interchange, which will be a vast, four storey station with tracks on two levels. When it’s complete it’s planned to have 24 600 metre long platforms, reportedly making it the largest station in Asia. Construction is now well underway. All the massive pillars appear to be present and they’re festooned with cranes and gantries which are lifting the huge concrete segments to make up the train decks into place. Meanwhile, the old, partially demolished station continues in its role.

dg262624-building-the-new-station-bang-sue-bangkok-thailand-11-1-17

The new Bang Sue interchange station takes shape.

 

dg262635-building-the-new-station-bang-sue-bangkok-thailand-11-1-17

One of the gantries which lifts concrete segments that form the bridges for the running lines into place before joining them together.

Leaving the train at Bang Sue I crossed the tracks on foot and weaved my way through the numerous hawkers food stalls to get to the main road and bus stops. I’d just missed one of the shuttle buses that connect with the purple line terminus at Tao Poon, so, as it was a cloudy day and not too humid I elected to walk the 1km distance between the two as it gave me chance to check out the Blue line extension of the existing underground line which will eventually link the two. This rises up out of the ground like the launch ramp of a V1 rocket, before levelling off on a not unattractive viaduct to reach Tao Poon, where it passes under the Purple line to create a station in the perfect shape of a cross. It’s a massive elevated edifice that involves a serious amount of steel and concrete. But, at the moment, the lack of a real rail interchange is having a serious effective on purple line passenger numbers. It’s only carrying 20,000 instead of the projected 70,000 per day. The blue line extension is currently expected to open in August this year.

dg262517-concourse-purple-line-station-tao-poon-bangkok-thailand-11-1-16

The entrance to the platforms at Tao Poon. You can see the security gates everyone has to pass through.

Making my way up the steps and elevators to the concourse I found the place pretty quiet. Admittedly, it was early afternoon, but it was clear the station was built to cope with far more passengers than it was seeing. I used one of the bilingual ticket machines to buy a ticket (well, a plastic token in reality) to take me to the Northern terminus at Khlong Bang Phai for 42 baht. Thanks to Brexit this is just (but only just) under a pound. At the moment a quid is worth a smidgen over 43 baht. Before that economic and political disaster you would have got 53 baht for a quid. Cheers Quitters! But I digress…

After buying a ticket you have to pass through security to reach the platforms. Two electronic gates were staffed by a couple of smiling and continually wai-ing young ladies who asked to look in my camera bag. Once through I took another escalator up to platform level, which is staffed by Thais working for G4S (famed for their London Olympics debacle). Cross the yellow tactile tiles along the platform edge or lean on the platform barriers that separate it from the trac,ks and you’ll soon attract their attention via a sharp blast from their whistles! In truth they were unswervingly polite and helpful and simply carrying out their duties as instructed. Their was no objection to me taking photos and there’s no signs that say you can’t (unlike on the underground) so everything was fine. All 16 stations on the line follow the same basic layout. They’re all island platforms 6 cars long, although the concourse & ticket office arrangements vary by location. The vast majority of the route runs along the central reservation of roads of varying sizes, where there’s room everything will be built underneath the platforms and linked to the pavement via footbridges. Where the roads are too narrow ticket machines and gates will be housed on buildings adjacent to the pavement. Four of the stations (Khlong Bang Phai, Sam Yaek Bang Yai, Tha It and Yaek Nonthaburi) have huge multi-story park and ride carparks.

dg262528-platform-level-purple-line-station-bang-son-bangkok-thailand-11-1-16

A typical station layout on the purple line, showing the platform gates, lift and stairs. Don’t step over the tactile yellow strip until a train comes in, otherwise the staff will tell you off!

In 2013 the Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand awarded metro concessionaire Bangkok Metro Public Company Ltd an 80·3bn baht 30-year contract to operate and maintain the route. This was divided into a 3 year construction phase before a 27 year operating phase. The contract also included supplying rolling stock and electrical and mechanical equipment.  The 21 3-car trains were supplied by East Japan Railway train manufacturing subsidiary  J-TREC (Japan Transport Engineering Company). In fact much of the line has been funded by Japan, with loans coming from an ODA loan. The M&E equipment has also been supplied by Japanese firms. This plaque at Klong Bang Phai commemorates Japanese involvement.

DG262573. Commemorative plaque. Purple line. Khlong Bang Phai. Thailand. 11.1.16.JPG

The whole length of the line is elevated, which makes for an interesting trip, not because it’s particularly scenic as most of the landscape is urban, but because it shows you how improved transport infrastructure has kick-started development. New multi-story apartment blocks are springing up all along the route. In many cases, older (say 20-40 years) low rise structures are being demolished to make way for them. Some of these are the traditional Chinese style shop-houses, others are derelict factory sprawl and a few are greenfield sites. Of course, unlike to roads it follows, the beauty of a trip on the metro is that you know exactly how long it’ll take.

Points of interest along the route are just beyond Bang Son the second station, where the line sails high above the existing SRT line to the South – and the new elevated light red line from Taling Chan, with its own station to the right. Although this metre-gauge line was completed some years ago, even running a trial service back in 2012-14 using existing SRT DMUs it’s been mothballed since January 2014 as it neither has new trains to run on it, or the new station at Bang Sue to run into!

There is one scenic part of the trip, which is when the line crosses high above the majestic Chao Prahya after Phra Nang Klao station before heading off along more main roads through suburban sprawl  and new shopping centres. Shortly afterwards it reaches journey’s end at Khlong Bang Phai. The approach to which is signalled by an elevated line branching off to the right which runs into the lines new purpose built depot containing two long battleship-grey sheds. The nearest one is for stabling and cleaning whilst the furthest is for maintenance.

dg262553-depot-at-the-end-of-the-line-purple-line-khlong-bang-phai-thailand-11-1-16

The depot at Khlong Bang Phai, with park and ride facilities below it.

The 3-car trains that operate the line are rather swish. I’ve not been able to find any technical details of them (if anyone can point me in the direction of some I’d be grateful) but they follow the standard Thai pattern of having plastic longitudinal seats, a/c, CCTV, lots of standing room and plenty of grab-rails. They have open gangways and a PIS system that counts down the stations stopped at en-route. Here’s a look at them…

dg262555-interior-purple-line-train-khlong-bang-phai-thailand-11-1-16

I’ve no doubt that once fully connected, and with all the new development that surround the line completed, the purple line with fulfil its potential. But right now is a good time to visit as it’s pleasantly quiet! Once this is completed, it will be a different matter…

dg262613-fitting-out-the-blue-line-tao-poon-bangkok-thailand-11-1-16

Looking down on the extension to blue line at Tao Soon where tracklaying is heading Westward.

New railway construction abounds in Bangkok. When I return later this month I’ll post an update on the construction of the new elevated ‘dark red’ line for SRT, the first section of which runs from Bang Sue, past Don Mueang airport to Thammasat University.

If you want to see more pictures from this series, as well as travel shots from my time in Thailand, follow this link to my picture website.

Has Copeland spoiled Labour’s Xmas spirit?

21 Wednesday Dec 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in Politics, Uncategorized

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The news that Labour MP Jamie Reed is to stand down in Copeland, his Lake District constituency in February 2017 has probably soured the mood at some Labour Xmas gatherings. Thrice elected Reed had a thin majority of just 2,564 over his Conservative challenger since the 2015 general election. UKIP came 3rd in the seat which encompasses the towns of Whitehaven and Keswick whilst extending down the Cumbrian coast as far as Millom. Although overwhelmingly rural nowadays, it used to be a big coal mining and industrial area. Unemployment is low at 4% but it has a large retired population at 19% which helps to explain the popularity of UKIP and why the area voted to leave the EU by 62%

Here’s a breakdown of the constituencies demographic from UK Polling report.

Reed has gone to join one of the areas main employers, British Nuclear Fuels Ltd (BNFL). Why has he gone now? It could well be because he knows his seat is at risk to the Tories under Jeremy Corbyn, who he’s always opposed as Labour leader. And there’s the rub for his party. Corbyn opposes both nuclear power and Trident. Who are the two biggest employers in the area? BNFL and BAE systems shipyard in nearby Barrow in Furness! You get the picture…

This could get to be a very interesting contest as all traditional bets are off after Brexit. But how will Brexit influence the result. No-one knows. The resurgent Lib-Dems have never done well in the area so have nothing to lose by standing on a Strong pro EU platform. They won’t win the seat but no-one else is offering anything to the folks who feel disenfranchised by Labour’s volte face to support Brexit. They’re looking for a home and a voice. And what about Bregetters? There’s growing evidence that this phenomenon exists now there’s no good economic news coming out of the result to leave the EU – nor is there likely to be, and the region did very well out of EU farming subsidies and other grants.

On the other side we have UKIP. If they haven’t gone bankrupt by then (they were due to pay 172,000 euros back to the EU today) will this week’s leader, Paul Nuttall throw his hat into the ring as their candidate?

In truth, I suspect the more likely result is that the Tories could wrest control, which would be a disaster for Corbyn as the constituency has been Labour since 1935. Copeland is a long way from Westminster and a world away from Corbyn’s North London constituency. If the Tories put up a strong local candidate things could get very interesting…

An Hs2 update

22 Tuesday Nov 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, StopHs2, Uncategorized

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Hs2, StopHs2

Despite my hopes I’ve not had as much time for blogging as I’d wanted, but here’s a quick update on Hs2 as we’ve had an interesting few weeks.

On November 15th the Government make the long-awaited announcement on the phase 2 and 2a sections of the route. These have now gone out for consultation. The only really contentious issue was the decision to adopt a change to allow Hs2 trains to run directly through Sheffield Midland via a loop off a section of Hs2 which has been shifted Eastwards through South Yorkshire. The announcements were greeted favourably by the vast majority of politicians (nationally and locally) and by the business community. As usual, the only fly in the ointment was getting the folks of Yorkshire to agree on anything! There’s currently a battle between the counties politicians as towns like Barnsley and Doncaster wanted the original Meadowhall route, whilst Sheffield had lobbied hard for a city centre route. A new housing estate outside Mexborough (Shimmer) has been caught up in the furore and provided an classic example of  just how disorganised, fractious (and deceitful) the Yorkshire StopHs2 campaign is. Some campaigners tried to claim that Hs2 wanted to knock down all 215 properties. Here’s the claim on the blog page on the website of one of the main Yorkshire groups.

215-demolitions

There’s only one problem. It’s a complete fabrication. The Higgins report contains no such figure! Not only that, but H2 Ltd confirmed in an interview to the iPaper yesterday that the figure is actually 16, not 215 properties!

ipaper.PNG

The article’s a very good example of balance and unsensational journalism that reveals not everyone on the estate is anti Hs2 – a fact often ignored by more sensationalist sources. You’ll see the same levels of division if you visit the Facebook pages of some of the Yorkshire Stophs2 groups. What comes across is that some people are using the campaign  as a vehicle for their 15 minutes of fame, leaving other residents feeling they’re doing more harm than good. The fact cracks have appeared so early, plus the inability of local politicians to agree, doesn’t bode well for the Stophs2 campaign in Yorkshire.

Worse news was to come on the national political stage with the news that the one party that’s really exploited the Stophs2 campaign (UKIP) is continuing to implode. They’ve lost yet another Leadership candidate, plus the EU is demanding back 400,000 euros in funding that UKIP have ‘misspent’ on UK campaigns. There’s now the delicious irony that Stophs2 and UKIP appear to be a race to see who can implode first…

As if this wasn’t bad enough, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn addressed the CBI yesterday. His speech restated Labour’s commitment to building Hs2.

corbyn-cbi

So, who’s going to stop Hs2 now? No-one. Phase 1 will have Royal Assent within weeks. £900m of enabling work contracts have been let and work has already started on ground investigations and re-routing services. The consultations over the phase 2 routes will continue for a year or two now, but the political will behind the project remains steadfast and solid.

It’s going to be a cold, cold Christmas without any cheer for the anti Hs2 campaign.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Stop Hs2 campaign revisited

26 Monday Sep 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in Hs2, Hs2aa, Mid Cheshire against Hs2, StopHs2, Uncategorized

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Anti Hs2 mob, Hs2, Hs2aa, Rail Investment, Railways, StopHs2, Transport

I haven’t blogged about the Stop hs2 campaign for some time, mostly because it’s a busted flush nowadays, but I thought it would be useful to sum up the state of play in the final weeks before Phase 1 gets Royal Assent.

Ever since Hs2 passed 2nd reading in the Commons with such a stonking majority the antis campaign has been doomed. From that point on there was a noticeable decline in their efforts which has continued ever since. Now they’re doing a very good impression of the fabled Oozlum bird! The final straw for many of them was the fact the Lords Hs2 Committee made it very clear they weren’t going to tolerate the campaign trying to bog down progress on the bill by sticking in hundreds of pointless petitions. The Committee also severely limited what one of the remaining anti Hs2 groups (Hs2aa) could petition about.

This left the two surviving groups almost redundant. So much so that Hs2aa have given up campaigning on social media. Their Twitter and Facebook accounts haven’t been used since June 12th and their website is pretty much abandoned too. It’s carried 4 articles since June, most of which are repeating newspaper stories. Their campaigning is reduced to funding an advert to be rolled out in a few ‘periodicals’ (so, not the national newspapers then) before the Tory party conference next month and err, that’s it…

Meanwhile, the Stophs2 group is hanging on by the skin of its teeth despite the fact it’s a pointless organization with little to do. Like Hs2aa, its website is mostly kept alive by repeating what the media are saying about Hs2 or recycling old articles from the past, otherwise there’s nothing happening. The days of meetings, conventions and organising protests are long gone. This year they’ve not even attended any of the party conferences, so we’ve been saved from the usual fairy stories about how ‘busy’ their stall was – which is always contradicted by people tweeting pictures of it!

What’s instructive is taking a look at their Facebook page. On it you’ll find the same few names constantly expressing their bewilderment. They simply can’t understand why Hs2 is still happening. However, when you read through the comments and see the sheer level of ignorance about transport, economics and politics being expressed – you can see why they failed. The comments are overwhelmingly from those living on the route howling in incomprehension at everything. Their unguarded comments make it clear most of them have given up the fight, all they’re doing now is moaning about the result.

So, where do things go from here? It’s clear the stop Hs2 campaign’s been a miserable failure. Tactically it’s been a disaster. It never understood that a few hundred people affected by a specific issue like Hs2 would struggle to get wider public support. Pretending some negative opinion polls would somehow translate into anything concrete was a huge mistake – as was incessently painting politicians (the very people they needed) as corrupt. Trotting out a constant stream of lies, deception and dodgy figures wasn’t too bright either.

The anti Hs2 campaign was probably the first major one of the social media age, so it holds a lot of lessons for others. What it’s taught us is that social media is very much a double-edged sword for such campaigns because it exposes your weaknesses just as much as it allows you to get your message across to people. Social media has allowed us to see that the stophs2 campaign was actually a tiny group of people that was shrinking as time went on. It also showed that many of its ‘supporters’ were opportunists from the economic right wing such as the Taxpayers Alliance and the Institute for Economic Affairs, plus UKIP. We can see from Facebook that their campaign stalled years ago. It’s never attracted more than a few thousand people at most. Only a tiny percentage of that few thousand are in any way activists. Twitter paints an even worse picture as it’s clear from the activity surrounding the #hs2 hashtag that there’s been a massive drop in people tweeting anti H2 messages. To make matters worse, the majority of those remaining are either from the political fruitcake end of the spectrum or are tweeting anonymously (which is a complete waste of time). That leaves a handful of ordinary people. As a campaigning tool to stop hs2 it’s useless. Instead, what it has done is expose another of their weaknesses – which is that apart from their ‘heartland’ in the Chilterns, they’re scattered and isolated.

The phase 1 campaign is effectively dead. Royal Assent (which is only a few weeks away) is now certain. The last hope for their campaign was that the reconstituted Tory government would have a change of heart after Brexit. That hope was dashed when it became clear that Teresa May, her new Chancellor and Transport Minister strongly backed hs2. Added to this was the delicious irony that the brexit vote made building Hs2 crucial to the Governments efforts to boost the economy. So much for UKIP (who claimed Hs2 was a dastardly EU plot that was imposed on us) support for the antis! Once phase 1 gets Royal Assent Hs2aa (which is almost exclusively made up of Chiltern Nimbys) is redundant, as is Warwickshire based & funded Stophs2. I can’t see either of them surviving into 2017, which leaves the stop hs2 campaign without any national leadership or structure.

Now the ‘battle’ moves on to phase 2 and phase 2a. So, what’s the state of play on those sections of the route?

Phase 2a to Crewe passes through Staffordshire where the anti Hs2 campaign’s always been a bit of a joke. They’ve spent more time fighting each other than trying to stop hs2 due to the egos and ‘personalities’ involved. Think of Monty Python’s ‘Life of Brian’ and the ‘splitters’ of the Judean Peoples front…Right now there’s not even an established group in Staffs to oppose phase 2a. UKIP support featured heavily in Staffs, but now that party is in decline there’s little to suggest there’s ever going to be coherent opposition to Phase 2a.

Phase 2 is a little more complex. The leg from Crewe to Manchester and the spur to the WCML near Warrington has very little opposition apart from a moribund group of Nimbys in Mid-Cheshire and another around Warrington. What’s significant is that there’s not a single organised StopHs2 group anywhere in the Manchester area. The other leg through Sheffield to Leeds has more opposition due to the recent route change. That said, there’s little that’s coherent. Leeds has a tiny and disorganised group in the outskirts to the South-East. There was a group at Church Fenton, but again, that’s done very little. There is new opposition centred around Rotherham but they seem hell-bent on running a carbon-copy of the failed phase 1 campaign. Instead of concentrating their efforts on route changes or mitigation they’re wasting their time trying to stop the whole Hs2 project. The problem all these groups have is political support for Hs2 is far stronger in the North than it was in the South. Even though some Yorkshire MPs like Ed Miliband have expressed opposition to the route change, they still support building Hs2. This means there’s no chance that there will be a rebellion of MPs to vote down the Hs2 Phase 2 Hybrid Bill when it gets to Parliament. Of course, all this is several years away but what is increasingly clear is that Stophs2 as a national campaign is finished.

EVENING UPDATE:

To add to the doom and gloom for the stophs2 campaign, Labour’s Shadow Chancellor made an announcement at today’s Labour conference. He committed the party to borrowing to invest in an infrastructure fund. He specifically mentioned that both Hs2 & Hs3 would be built from these funds. Now, you can offer odds on the chance of Labour ever getting back in to power before Hs2 is built, but what matters is Labour’s clear commitment to the project. They’re not going to be voting against either the Phase 2a or Phase 2 Hybrid bills…

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Station friends forge closer ties

02 Friday Sep 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in ACoRP, Community, Railways, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

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ACoRP

Today I attended a rather different event – the twinning of two of Yorkshire’s station friends groups. Mytholmroyd (W Yorks) and Bentham (N Yorks) are two well established groups that have deep roots in their local communities. The lines they’re based on couldn’t be more different. Whilst Mytholmroyd has 70 trains a day serving it, Bentham has a grand total of 10. Despite the disparity of services, the groups have a lot in common. They’ve got to know each other so well they decided to twin to reflect these links, encourage greater co-operation between station groups and to share best practice. Hopefully other friends groups will be encouraged to do the same.

The first of the twinning events was held today at St Michaels church in Mytholmroyd. This church was so badly damaged by the terrible floods on Boxing day 2015, that much of it is still under repair and will be out of action for another year.

The event was well attended and included both the local mayors and community representatives as well as Northern, the local train operator.

Here’s a few pictures from the event.

DG253308

Representatives of both station groups and the wider community attended the event.

 

DG253315

Cllr Tony Hodgins, Mayor of Hebden Royd, led the audience in a round of applause for Sue & Geoff Mitchell who are the powerhouses behind the Mytholmroyd station friends

DG253384

To commemorate the event, Two of the friends of Bentham (Bob Sloan & Gerald Townson) presented Mytholmroyd with a slate plaque to adorn the station.

 

 

 

Respect democracy we’re told, but why should you respect a lie?

26 Sunday Jun 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in Brexit, Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

I’m on my way to London before heading off to Germany tomorrow and (like most people) I’m trying the make sense of the political and economic chaos that’s engulfed us since the Brexit vote. I share something else with many people at the moment too – I’m angry.

I’m angry that I’m repeatedly being asked to ‘respect’ a referendum result that was secured by the most monumental, bare-faced lies.

This wasn’t the cut and thrust claims of everyday politics, or the manifesto promises of general election campaigns. This wasn’t a result that could be corrected at the next general election when the deceit became plain, no, this was weapons-grade dishonesty of the most breath-taking kind that was meant to settle a question once and for all time.

I’m talking of the ‘we’ll save £350m a week and spend it on the NHS’ claim, not to mention the ‘Turkey is joining the EU’ claim, or the one that appealed to many – that immigration would be ‘controlled’. In fact, the ridiculous campaign slogan “Vote Leave, take control” now seems like a sick joke when it’s obvious the UK is now completely out of control, both financially and politically! The horrible truth is the Brexiteers had no plan – just lies – and now it’s all starting to become clear as one after another, they’re forced to admit they lied and that the promises they made to secure their victory can’t be delivered.

So, why should I or anyone else respect the result? This wasn’t democracy in action, this was fraud.

Even some of those people who were taken in by the fraud are expressing their anger and dismay now that Brexit leaders are finally admitting their claims were false – but only after the results are in of course…

Meanwhile, two of the architects of this destruction, Gove and Johnson are looking rather sick. Cameron has left them holding the Brexit baby. He’s not going to trigger Article 50 and the process that would end of our membership of the EU ( and almost certainly lead to the break-up of the United Kingdom). Instead he’s exposed the fact that none of the bold Brexiteers actually have a plan!

If this wasn’t being played out in the real world it would make a gripping political drama. As it is, it’s a bloody nightmare. It’s real. It’s affecting millions of people and the world’s economy. No wonder they’re looking sick. Johnson’s hubris is about to cost us all dear.

So yes, I AM angry – and I know many other people are too. Our elected representatives need to understand that anger, rather than talk glibly about ‘respecting’ a referendum result secured by lies. So let’s stay angry folks, until we find politicians who have the guts and honesty to sort this mess out.

I went to sleep in Gt Britain. I woke up in little England

24 Friday Jun 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in Brexit, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

I write this with a terrible sadness. I have a feeling that I’ve just witnessed the most tragic act of national self-mutilation my generation will see. Great Britain has voted to leave the European Union and I have a horrible feeling that this will be the last national act the United Kingdom will ever make. Already, there are calls for Scotland to have another referendum on leaving the Union. There are also calls for Northern Ireland to join with the Irish republic as both they and the Scots voted strongly to remain.

Now, we start to face the consequences of the vote. “Project Fear” now looks more and more like “Project reality check” as the effects people were warned about but chose to ignore come to pass. Already the pound has nose-dived and the stock market has lost 7%.

My fear is that this really is a case of turkeys voting for Christmas. The old and the fearful have selfishly set the future for the young. The poor have been gulled by the millionares and media magnates, not understanding they will bear the brunt of the consequences as our economy takes the hit. How long will it last for? No-one knows. We are all in uncharted territory here.

Of course, it’s not just us. The shockwaves will be felt outside the UK too. We’ve plunged the world into uncertainty. Have we triggered a new world recession? I sincerely hope not, but the signs are not looking good. I’d love to be proved wrong on that.

What now? None of us really know, although I have a nasty suspicion that this will lead to a much more fragmented and divisive society. Sooner or later, those who’ve voted out on the promise that it will end immigration and ‘free’ the UK from the economic shackles of the EU will realise they’ve been fooled. Already Farage has admitted that the £350m claim the Leave campaign trumpeted as the weekly ‘cost’ of the EU was actually untrue. Gove and Johnson have asked Cameron to stay on as PM – presumably because they don’t want to take responsibility for the shit-storm they’ve just unleashed, and because (as we knew) they don’t actually have a plan.

The old Chinese curse has come true. We’re living in ‘interesting’ times…

The senseless murder of Jo Cox MP

16 Thursday Jun 2016

Posted by Paul Bigland in Brexit, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Brexit

After a lovely day with community rail friends in Glossop, Dawn & I were shocked beyond measure to hear of the brutal & senseless murder of Jo Cox, the MP for Batley & Spen. We knew Jo. We met her at the founding meeting of the friends of Batley station just before she was elected as an MP. She was bright, friendly, committed & compassionate. She knew how to make things happen and she did it with both winning ways and good humour. It was obvious from that first meeting with her that she had a great political future ahead of her and that Batley (and politics in general) would benefit from her being in Westminster. Instead, she’s been killed in a senseless, politically motivated murder. I’ve written before about how the present political campaign has opened Pandora’s box & released a terribly poisonous mix of resentments. This is obviously part of that mix. I always thought the UK was better than this. Today, I’m really not so sure. All I can hope is that this tragedy makes some people stop and think about the direction this country may be heading. It’s time to reject the divisive folk & the philosophy that talks of its fellow citizens as traitors & accuses them of treason before it’s too late. These fools have just deprived both us and Batley of a compassionate and caring MP and her husband & children of a wife and mother. It’s not too late to step back from the abyss…

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